Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-02 2.688955 2.823126 2.963799 3.122892 3.298568 3.487504 3.707253
2025-11-09 2.421877 2.604045 2.803942 3.041711 3.319752 3.638435 4.037194
2025-11-16 2.249087 2.457426 2.693307 2.984163 3.339120 3.766748 4.335277
2025-11-23 2.138987 2.366940 2.631567 2.967687 3.393068 3.928667 4.682143
2025-11-30 2.061056 2.305265 2.594894 2.972444 3.466178 4.114023 5.077301
2025-12-07 1.976277 2.228259 2.531980 2.935913 3.478019 4.213684 5.360390
2025-12-14 1.881434 2.133030 2.439691 2.853298 3.418747 4.205203 5.475628
2025-12-21 1.838425 2.099259 2.421870 2.865180 3.486594 4.380876 5.901530
2025-12-28 1.814931 2.088126 2.431313 2.912480 3.605820 4.643010 6.517622
2026-01-04 1.754626 2.027069 2.372242 2.861640 3.577939 4.673840 6.728970
2026-01-11 1.723864 2.002577 2.359784 2.874045 3.643216 4.858130 7.263503
2026-01-18 1.711326 2.000908 2.377107 2.928683 3.775697 5.168080 8.129316
2026-01-25 1.669986 1.962990 2.347931 2.921040 3.821226 5.354153 8.839737
2026-02-01 1.607986 1.895916 2.276655 2.848612 3.759109 5.343159 9.101123
2026-02-08 1.557401 1.842358 2.221827 2.797479 3.727517 5.384997 9.516808
2026-02-15 1.522357 1.808374 2.192634 2.782832 3.754684 5.542390 10.313802
2026-02-22 1.495781 1.784762 2.176745 2.787049 3.813542 5.771462 11.450261
2026-03-01 1.459779 1.746908 2.138843 2.754606 3.805171 5.859760 12.192723
2026-03-08 1.413502 1.693538 2.076772 2.681094 3.718223 5.767861 12.254305
2026-03-15 1.394670 1.677605 2.068141 2.691679 3.783427 6.020654 13.814177
2026-03-22 1.385906 1.675277 2.078994 2.733776 3.910124 6.439779 16.582378
2026-03-29 1.353330 1.638491 2.037713 2.688526 3.867737 6.445357 17.327901
2026-04-05 1.337725 1.625238 2.030830 2.699574 3.934616 6.737317 20.176175